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Climate Snapshot

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Global warming increasing by 400,000 atomic bombs every day

Barry Saxifrage
May 15th, 2012

On August 6, 1945, the bomb doors on the Enola Gay opened above the Japanese city of Hiroshima. An atomic bomb packed with 60 kilos of uranium fell for less than a minute before exploding with the energy of thirteen thousand tons of TNT. The radius of "total destruction" extended a mile in every direction. The force of the blast killed an estimated 70,000 people instantly.

 

Unnoticed by the world at the time, the Enola Gay was also releasing a much more subtle threat to humanity: an invisible, odourless and tasteless gas called carbon dioxide. Even today, a third of Enola Gay’s CO2 from that mission is still up in our atmosphere and around a sixth will be there for millennia. Most of the CO2 that does leave the atmosphere dissolves into our oceans, acidifying them.

Earth Day no deterrent to Canada’s drive for more dirty fossil fuels

Barry Saxifrage
Apr 20th, 2012

The first Earth Day, on April 22, 1970, exploded onto the scene as millions of college students held environmental teach-ins. Since then, Earth Day has become an annual and worldwide event.

I’m sure many great things have come from those 42 years of Earth Days. I’ve enjoyed many of them. But when it comes to moving society toward effective action on climate change and its evil twin ocean acidification, these Earth Days have become the equivalent of butterflies splattered on the windshields of our accelerating dirty energy party wagon.

More carbon, not less, since beginning Earth Days

In 1970, the average Canadian was busy was dumping 15.7 tonnes of CO2 every year into the atmosphere and oceans. Today, with the benefit of forty two Earth Days under our belts, we have managed to cut our climate pollution down to 16 tonnes each.  Oh wait … that is more climate pollution, not less. Splat.

Metro Vancouver has dirtier transportation than France

Barry Saxifrage
Apr 18th, 2012

One common excuse I hear for why the transportation in BC and Canada is so much dirtier than in Europe is that Canada is a much bigger and more spread out. It is certainly true that denser populations usually use less gasoline per person.

But the reason for the huge gulf in gasoline burning between Europe and Canada is more complicated than just the relative size of our countries and populations would suggest. For one, Canada is actually a very urban nation. Second, Europeans pay 80 cents more per litre for gasoline, and lastly, Europeans drive much more efficient vehicles.

The result of lower gas prices and less efficient vehicles is that even within our densest and greenest cities, like Vancouver, we struggle to get down to the national averages for European nations like France, Germany and UK.

England's "expensive gas" saves money

Barry Saxifrage
Apr 13th, 2012

All taxes on carbon fuels work as carbon taxes. When any tax raises the price of a carbon fuel, like gasoline, the marketplace will soon find ways to use less of it.

Recently, I read about how the British government raised gas taxes in the 1990s in a partial attempt to reduce carbon pollution. It got me wondering how other gas taxes compare to BC's official carbon tax. So I did the math, and the results surprised me.

As my chart above shows, gas taxes in Britain, Germany and France are equal to an unofficial carbon tax of $500 per tonne of CO2. None of their gas taxes are formally called carbon taxes, but they act as such.

Indeed, the British, Germans and French emit three times less CO2 per person from their transportation. That’s a gigantic difference in climate pollution levels.

The high cost of BC’s cheap gas

Barry Saxifrage
Apr 10th, 2012

click image to view larger

A rapid spike in gas prices is hot news right now. And for good reason: when gasoline prices spike they drain the wallets of almost everyone but the oil companies. A recent Globe and Mail headline spelled it out: “What $1.70 gasoline would mean: Job losses, stock rally fizzle.”

While $1.70 gas would cause short-term economic trouble in Canada, it would do the very opposite in Europe: provide them a short-term economic gain. That’s because they charged themselves $1.70 for gas many years ago and their economy has already adapted to that price. Today they charge themselves well over two dollars a litre.

Tar sands vs. entire nations

Barry Saxifrage
Mar 13th, 2012

Last week I published a chart comparing potential tar sands CO2 to past Canadian emissions. I received a number of requests for similar charts that compare Canada's tar sands to other nation's emissions such as China, USA or a major EU nation.

Rather than make multiple charts, I decided to create one bar chart to rule them all.

Here it is:

For this chart, I removed all the categories of tar sands estimates except this critical one:

How much carbon will eventually become economic to burn

Confused by the tar sands climate threat? Take a look.

Barry Saxifrage
Mar 8th, 2012

Update: My chart below has been widely reposted already. NRDC included it their lobbying package sent to every US Senator and Representative before the incredibly close vote on March 8th to once again deny the Keystone XL permit. Other groups have reposted it including Forest Ethics, Tar Sands Action, Oil Change International and 350.org

Update 2: It has been pointed out to me that a circle labelled “recoverable now” in my original chart is really an estimate for “will become economic.” I’ve changed the chart and text below to reflect this.

Freezing to death in a warming climate: yellow-cedars in trouble

Barry Saxifrage
Feb 9th, 2012

For decades, a mysterious force called yellow-cedar decline has decimated hundreds of thousands of acres of our iconic native yellow-cedars.

When it hits a vulnerable stand, most yellow-cedars die. Recently a team of researchers with the U.S. Forest Service published a paper based on three decades of study that revealed the culprit: by burning oil, coal and natural gas, humans are stealing the trees’ winter blankets, leaving them to literally freeze to death.

With grey papery bark, an evocative spicy-smoky smell, a buttery smooth carving wood and a life span that can exceed a thousand years, these trees have woven themselves deeply into both ancient and modern human culture.

I personally have a deep fondness for yellow-cedar trees born of many long quiet encounters with them in the wilds.

Climate change brings extra half foot of rain to Vancouver

Barry Saxifrage
Feb 1st, 2012

Last week I showed how global warming was changing Vancouver’s January weather. Today, I show the major climate trends across all our months.

Annual rainfall in Vancouver has increased by about half a foot since baby boomers were in diapers, as the chart above shows. All seasons except summer are significantly soggier. November shows the biggest jump in added rain.

The least rainy year on record was 1942. The first year to break the 1,400mm barrier for total rainfall was 1980. The first year to break the 1,500mm barrier was 1997. If the trend continues a super soggy 1,600mm year is heading our way in not too many more years.

What role does El Nino/La Nina play?

The El Nino/La Nina phenomenon can create weather havoc over much of the globe when either phase kicks in. But in Vancouver, according to my analysis, El Nino years average only 2% more rain and La Nina years average only 1% more rain. And neither 1980 or 1997 which broke new rainfall records were an El Nino/La Nina year.

Global warming means even more rain in January for Vancouver

Barry Saxifrage
Jan 27th, 2012

January weather is changing in Vancouver. If you’ve been hoping that climate change would bring us lots more rain, you’re in luck.

January is bringing Vancouverites lots more rain, half as much snow, rising temperatures and new high-energy weather extremes. That is according to my analysis and charting of seventy five years of Environment Canada weather records.

These are exactly the overall trends that climate science says will continue in BC and worldwide, until we stop turbo-charging our weather with fossil fuel pollution.

Fossil fuels increase rainfall

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