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Highlights from the Joint Review Panel Technical Hearings on Economics

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Chris Peters, a Prince George engineer, calculated that the “well to wheels” greenhouse gas emissions would be 37 million tons (2/3 of BC’s total emissions in 2010) and suggested this social cost should be entered into the equation.  Enbridge responded that Canada is not responsible for emissions it exports to other countries, underscoring Peters’ point that the social costs of the emissions enabled by the proposed pipeline are not accounted for anywhere.

Haisla First Nation: An undersized study

The Haisla First Nation’s traditional territory will have more impacts than other First Nations because it is affected by all three aspects of the proposal: the pipeline, the terminal and the super tankers. The Haisla established that Enbridge gave different financial forecasts to different audiences – higher to the public, which inflates the claimed public benefit of a “price lift,” - and lower to investors.[xii] Enbridge responded that the different forecasts were insignificant to the project’s viability. The Haisla also raised concerns that the condensate costs and risks were not adequately addressed. Enbridge responded that this was the responsibility of the shippers. The Haisla noted that Mark Anielski’s “natural capital and ecological goods and services” study included no impacts beyond the right of way, no river or salmon impacts and less land than the pipeline would actually occupy.

Coastal First Nations: Enbridge admits that a spill is 93% likely

The CFN noted that neither the provincial nor federal governments have exclusive jurisdiction to decide whether the project will proceed given that the First Nations have never ceded their traditional territories. The CFN couldn’t evaluate impacts to salmon because they hadn’t been provided the necessary information. “Whose responsibility is that?” CFN council asked. Enbridge responded that they had tabled sufficient information for a determination by the JRP.

Enbridge agreed that there is a 93% chance of a tanker spill, terminal spill, or full bore pipeline rupture happening within 50 years. In a heated exchange, CFN pointed out that there was no accounting of the social costs of the conflict that the pipeline would cause if the project goes forward. 

Economist Robyn Allen: risks from tanker traffic increases are exponential

Enbridge’s questions to the Alberta Federation of Labour panelist economist Robyn Allen allowed her to point out that if the pipeline were to increase from its stated capacity (525,000 barrels per day) to its potential capacity (850,000 barrels per day), this would increase tanker traffic by over 50 percent as well as activity in the marine terminal. “Risk is not additive,” she said. “It is exponential.”

JRP panelist Kenneth Bateman asked Allen about the value of Enbridge giving a “parental guarantee” that it would backstop all costs of a major oil spill. When Allen stated Enbridge won’t entertain that, Bateman implied that it could be required by the federal government.

Next Steps

The technical hearings will continue through December. Beginning October 9, the JRP will convene in Prince George to hear expert evidence regarding the construction and impacts of the pipeline. Beginning November 22, the JRP will travel to Prince Rupert to hear expert testimony on marine and First Nations issues. Community hearings in southern BC are scheduled to begin in January 2012. The final arguments on technical evidence will be in April, 2013. The 2012 Federal Budget and Bill C-38 require the JRP to submit its report by the end of 2013. The federal cabinet will make the final decision.

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