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Enbridge Northern Gateway pipeline could cost $15 billion?

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Enbridge may be understating the true costs of the Northern Gateway oil pipeline, according to an APTN report based on WikiLeaks emails from Texas-based global intelligence firm Stratfor. The firm’s vice-president of analysis suggested that the true cost of the Enbridge Northern Gateway pipeline could "easily" go over $15 billion, and that China would have to cover much of the cost.

The story, which was first reported in Aboriginal Peoples' Television Network by Jorge Barrera, highlights information from emails relating to Canadian oil sands in The Global Intelligence Files, derived from Stratfor -- known as the "shadow CIA"

Below is the email which mentions the Enbridge Northern Gateway pipeline cost (emphasis added): 

Re: G3/B3/GV - CHINA/CANADA/ENERGY - China Invests in Canadian Oil-Export Project

Email-ID1105205
Date2011-01-21 15:38:57
Frommark.schroeder@stratfor.com
Toanalysts@stratfor.com
List-Nameanalysts@stratfor.com
it is Prince Rupert that is the gateway they're talking about. i'll send here next a PR release I dug up, on plans for Prince Rupert port and infrastructure. 

On 1/21/11 8:25 AM, Peter Zeihan wrote:

while technically possible, going over the Canadian Rockies would be a technical challenge to say the least

im guessing that the price tag on this would easily go above $15b (about triple what the current estimate is)

there's are very good reasons why all the crude goes south on flat
land to the midwest

so not impossible, but china would have to pony up for all of that itself (its done stranger things for less, so who knows)

Vancouver as an oil supertanker port -- now THAT would do some
interesting things to Canada's view of China
 
A response from Enbridge is pending, but spokesperson Todd Nogier told APTN that it stands by its original $5.5 billion quote. 
 
“It is a figure we use that we expect is going to be the cost to construct the pipeline,” said Nogier.

“Our funding partners, participants and Enbridge have financial arrangements. Whatever cost escalations that might occur, that is not something we are dealing with at the moment.”

Read the full story at APTN.ca.

(4) Comments

Red Mitten June 21st 2012 | 6:18 PM

Enbridge spokesperson Todd Nogier; “Our funding partners, participants and Enbridge have financial arrangements."

Perhaps Enbridge would care to answer this question? Would those 'funding partners & participants' be of non-Canadian nationality by any chance? Jus' sayin'!

Tom June 24th 2012 | 7:07 AM

I would suspect that the pipeline would be routed similarly to the railroad, or roadways, in taking routes through naturally occuring valleys, wherever possible.  

Based on  the amount of information provided in the article, I would be more inclined to go with Endbridge's estimate as they have at least studied the route, and as a public company, do have to make truthful statements regarding their costs.

Mackenna June 24th 2012 | 10:10 AM

Another boondoggle in the making. Add to the hideousness of this pipeline, the prospect of China being permitted to build it. China, whose economy thrives on counterfeit goods and slave labour. I can just picture the counterfeit steel going into it, the counterfeit nuts and bolts, the counterfeit standards, all hammered together by foreign workers paid the minimum wage, with Harper's blessing of course.  NO THANKS.

juechi June 24th 2012 | 11:11 AM

Thanks for all the comments. Just a note that the WikiLeaks emails aren't about China per se. The Stratfor analyst is saying that if it does end up being that amount, he predicts Chinese companies (such as Sinopec, PetroChina) would have to contribute that amount.